100% US-Made Tech Would Cost $185B–$230B, Trade Group Warns

President Trump has made reshoring supply chains a cornerstone of his economic agenda, aiming to produce most advanced technologies—from semiconductors to robotics—entirely within US borders. Now, a major trade group has attempted to quantify what that vision would actually cost.

The Genesis Mission and Trump's Reshoring Vision#

Through an executive order announced last December, Trump launched the "Genesis Mission," a wide-ranging initiative designed to capitalize on American leadership in artificial intelligence to strengthen domestic capabilities in robotics, biotechnology, semiconductors, and nuclear technology. Central to this strategy is eliminating dependence on international partners—even close allies—for any component of manufactured goods.

CTA's Reality Check: The Staggering Price Tag#

The Consumer Technology Association (CTA), representing major tech firms, has repeatedly cautioned that reshoring supply chains at scale is economically impractical. Yet the trade group recently completed its first concrete cost estimate.

According to research released to members this week, achieving full US production of just 10 common consumer product categories by 2031 would demand:

• $185 billion to $230 billion in capital investment
• 555,000 to 668,000 new full-time manufacturing jobs
• 19.1 to 19.5 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity annually

The CTA stated the labor requirement alone would present "the bigger problem," exceeding double the entire existing US computer and electronics manufacturing workforce.

The Energy Crunch#

A compounding challenge lurks in the timing. Massive electricity demand from reshoring production would collide directly with surging power needs from AI data center expansion occurring across the same period—intensifying strain on the nation's power grid during a critical decade for technological advancement.